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  • BreakingWhy a bear market will lead to a dollar collapse
    Falling equity markets this week are likely to signal the onset of a bear market, responding to a combination of the coronavirus spreading beyond China and persistent indications of a developing recession.This has provoked a flight into US Treasuries…
    - 11 hours ago, 27 Feb 20, 11:40am -
  • Will COVID-19 lead to a gold standard?

    Will COVID-19 lead to a gold standard?

    Even before the coronavirus sprang upon an unprepared China the credit cycle was tipping the world into recession. The coronavirus makes an existing situation immeasurably worse, shutting down China and disrupting global supply chains to the point wh…
    - 7 days ago, 20 Feb 20, 12:21pm -
  • Coronavirus and credit – a perfect storm

    Coronavirus and credit – a perfect storm

    This article posits that the spread of the coronavirus coincides with the downturn in the global credit cycle, with potentially catastrophic results. At the time of writing, analysts are still trying to get to grips with the virus’s economic i…
    - 15 days ago, 13 Feb 20, 10:29am -
  • Independence and its consequences
    Britain left the EU on the last day of January and is an independent nation once more. The new Johnson government is confident that Britain will do well outside the EU. Free trade will be embraced, and a no-deal outcome, now dubbed an Australian trad…
    - 21 days ago, 6 Feb 20, 2:05pm -
  • Estimating the shape of the coming crisis

    Estimating the shape of the coming crisis

    We don’t know what will trigger the crisis, but a likely candidate is foreign selling of US dollars combining with a collapse in the US government’s finances. Perhaps the coronavirus will turn out to be a black swan event, but the under…
    - 29 days ago, 30 Jan 20, 10:23am -
  • Irrational fears of deflation
    The benefits of a deflation of prices brought about by a combination of sound money and markets free from government intervention have been demonstrated to be the best economic environment, the denial of which in favour of inflationary financing has…
    - 35 days ago, 23 Jan 20, 12:06pm -
  • Why is bank credit so destructive?
    “Because your question searches for deep meaning, I shall explain in simple words.â€� â€“ Dante, InfernoPeriodic economic destruction by bank credit is not new. It has been a problem for millennia. The basis of it, the ownership of…
    - 42 days ago, 16 Jan 20, 1:15pm -
  • How to return to sound money
    Given the current fiat money system is on a path towards its own destruction it is not surprising that there has been increasing talk of a monetary reset. Without a completely different approach and by retaining the same institutions and macroeconomi…
    - 49 days ago, 9 Jan 20, 11:45am -
  • Gold’s outlook for 2020

    Gold’s outlook for 2020

    This article is an overview of the economic conditions that will drive the gold price in 2020 and beyond. The turn of the credit cycle, the effect on government deficits and how they are to be financed are addressed.In the absence of foreign demand f…
    - 56 days ago, 2 Jan 20, 3:16pm -
  • Bond worries and gold

    Bond worries and gold

    There is evidence that US Treasury bond yields may continue to rise, exposing the debt trap in which the US government finds itself. Market participants don’t realise it yet, but the dollar-based monetary system is spinning out of control. Thi…
    - 64 days ago, 26 Dec 19, 2:50am -

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